The Core Dynamic
Platforms profit from limiting organic reach
AI democratized tactics so thoroughly that differentiation collapsed
Buyer behavior evolved to route around marketing noise
Every efficiency gain from AI was immediately competed away
The problem isn't execution. The game changed, and the old playbook now works against you.
Every few years, someone discovers a marketing channel that works unusually well. They write about it. Other people copy it. The channel gets crowded. The platform notices and starts charging for access. The channel's effectiveness declines. Everyone moves on. AI compressed this cycle from years to months.
Marketing has never been easier to do and has never been harder to do well. The tools are better than ever. The competition is fiercer than ever. The platforms take a larger cut than ever. And buyers have developed defenses that are themselves increasingly sophisticated.
What remains scarce is judgment about which problems are worth solving, expertise deep enough to be genuinely useful, and the patience to build trust over a timeline longer than a quarter.
PART I
The Broken State of Software Marketing
Launch Platforms
Product Hunt solved a specific problem: good products are hard to discover. For a while, this worked. Then it stopped working.
Services sell fake upvotes openly. Comment sections fill with AI-generated enthusiasm. Launches are won through coordination, not quality. This is Goodhart's Law applied to product discovery: when a ranking becomes a target, it ceases to be a useful ranking.
SIGNAL-TO-NOISE RATIO OVER TIME
The platforms that work best for discovery in 2026 are the ones where the ranking mechanism is either opaque enough that gaming is difficult or distributed enough that no single score determines visibility.
Outbound Email
Before AI writing tools, sending a good cold email was comparatively expensive. The friction was load-bearing. It kept volume low enough that the channel worked. AI removed the friction -- and in doing so, broke the channel for everyone.
AVERAGE REPLY RATE
TOP PERFORMERS
10%+
TYPICAL CAMPAIGNS
~5%
C-LEVEL RESPONSE
4.2%
POORLY TARGETED
~1%
Starting November 2025, Gmail moved to full blocking of noncompliant messages. SPF, DKIM, and DMARC are now non-negotiable. Misconfigurations that once slipped through now send emails straight to spam or reject them entirely.
Scale is now inversely correlated with effectiveness. Small, focused campaigns still work. Mass-blast tactics are dead.
Paid Advertising
Advertising costs have been rising steadily, and in software they've been rising faster than most industries. You are not being overcharged. You are being outbid.
+12% YoY
+14% YoY
+11% YoY
+18% YoY
+15-18% YoY (steepest)
+8% YoY
Values in USD per click. 87% of industries saw CPC increases in the past year.
One CRM company shifted 30% of budget from paid ads to content marketing over 18 months:
Blended CAC
$320
$180
down 44%
Lead Volume
10K/mo
12.5K/mo
up 25%
Lead Quality
6.2/10
7.8/10
up 26%
Sales Cycle
45 days
32 days
down 29%
The SEO / Content Flood
AI tools reduced content production cost to approximately zero, which removed the natural quality filter. The result is a search landscape where the same basic answer appears across dozens of sites, each generated by a similar model, producing content that is technically correct and functionally useless.
(ChatGPT)
(est)
TIME ON PAGE DROP
4:32 to 1:47 avg
RESEARCH DROP
34% to 12% original
DUPLICATE RISE
18% to 47% similar
The companies still winning at SEO tend to be the ones that were winning before AI content tools existed, because their advantage was never production speed. It was having something worth producing.
The Buyer Has Changed
By the time a buyer fills out your "request a demo" form, the evaluation is largely over. You are not being auditioned. You are being verified.
The buyer's colleague mentioned your product in a team meeting. They read a Reddit thread. They asked in a private Slack group. None of this will ever appear in your CRM. The "source" field will say "direct" or "organic search" because the buyer typed your URL after deciding to check you out.
Steps 01-04 are invisible to your analytics. The most important moments in the buying process happen in contexts that are private by design.
Buyers don't particularly trust vendors as information sources. Of course they don't. This is rational behavior, not a character flaw.
PART II
Strategies That Work
Product-Led Growth
Product-led growth is what happens when you remove the wall between the product and the customer. You let people use the product before they pay. If the product is good, some percentage convert without anyone from your sales team being involved.
The speed at which users reach the "aha moment" determines almost everything about the economics. If it takes five minutes, you have a self-sustaining acquisition engine. If it takes five weeks, you have a free trial with a high abandonment rate.
TIME TO FIRST VALUE
CONVERSION FUNNEL BENCHMARKS
Founder-Led Marketing
Human brains are built to trust people and to be suspicious of institutions. Corporate accounts post content and people scroll past it. The same content, posted by a person with a name and a face, gets read. The gap has widened to the point where it's difficult to justify spending on brand-channel content if you have a founder who's willing to write.
Technical deep-dives, industry insights, data analysis
Founder journey, lessons learned, behind-the-scenes
Product updates, customer wins, feature launches
Most founders invert this: 60% sales, 30% authority, 10% personal. That's why most founder content doesn't work.
The moment they stop being the person actually thinking and writing, the signal degrades and you're back to being a corporate account with a human name on it.
Community-Led Growth
The conversations where buyers actually form opinions have migrated into spaces invisible to most marketing teams: private Slack groups, Discord servers, invite-only communities. A VP of Engineering asks their peer group "has anyone used X for Y?" and that conversation matters more than any case study your marketing team has ever produced.
60% fail at engagement
30% fail at growth transition
Variable attrition
Intent-Based Outreach
Traditional outbound works like this: you compile a list of companies that match your ICP, email all of them, and hope some percentage happen to be thinking about the problem you solve. If 3% are actively evaluating, 97% of your outreach is noise.
Intent data is an attempt to solve the timing problem. Instead of guessing, you look for behavioral signals that suggest a company is already evaluating solutions.
SALES CYCLE LENGTH
CONVERSION RATE
EMAIL RESPONSE RATE
COST PER QUALIFIED LEAD
Everyone has access to the same intent data providers. Your "personalized timing advantage" is their noise. The same account gets 4 emails the same day from 4 competitors who all detected the same intent signal.
Partner Ecosystem
Integrations compound and advertising doesn't. When you build a deep integration with another product, you create switching costs that didn't exist before. Each new integration makes the existing ones more valuable. This is a moat, and unlike most things that get called moats, it actually functions like one.
YEAR 1
INVESTMENT
Build integrations, negotiate terms, launch co-marketing. Negative ROI expected.
YEAR 2
BREAK-EVEN
Optimize, scale what works, add resellers. First ROI signals.
YEAR 3+
COMPOUND
Ecosystem flywheel. Partner-sourced revenue 20-40%. Major competitive advantage.
Vertical Specialization
Vertical SaaS companies command 2-3x higher valuations than horizontal counterparts because niche expertise creates defensible moats. Instead of competing with everyone for generic keywords, you become the undisputed authority in a specific domain.
The vertical market for SaaS is projected to exceed $720 billion by 2030. When you own a niche, your marketing becomes dramatically more efficient -- you know exactly who to reach, where they gather, and what language they use.
AI Search Optimization
AI search engines are replacing traditional search for a growing number of queries. Combined AI search now drives approximately 6 billion monthly visits and is growing 15-20% per quarter. Being cited by AI models is becoming as important as ranking on Google.
OpenAI has confirmed ads are coming to ChatGPT. Perplexity is testing sponsored answers. Google AI Overviews are already monetized. The likely outcome by 2027+: pay-to-play like Google Ads, where organic AI visibility approaches zero -- the same trajectory as organic social reach.
Your current AEO investment may depreciate rapidly. Invest, but with eyes open.
There Is No Hack
The pattern: a company tries content marketing for four months, gets impatient, pivots to outbound, runs that for three months, gets impatient, adds PLG, gets impatient, hires a growth hacker, gets impatient, and eventually runs out of money while doing five things badly instead of one thing well.
One motion, executed with enough depth and consistency to reach the compounding phase, will outperform five motions that each get abandoned during the plateau.
Pick ONE primary motion
Based on your product, market, and founder strengths
Execute for 18+ months
Every strategy requires this runway to compound
Layer, don't pivot
Add secondary motions only after primary works
Measure honestly
Dark social means most decisions are invisible. Ask "how did you hear about us?"
Invest in what AI can't replicate
Relationships, expertise, community, trust
Build owned audiences
Email lists, communities on your platform, product user bases
TOTAL TIME TO "IT'S WORKING": 18-36 months minimum
If anyone promises faster results, they're selling something.
RENTED (THEY CONTROL)
LinkedIn followers
Twitter/X followers
Instagram followers
YouTube subscribers
OWNED (YOU CONTROL)
Email list
Product user base
Your community
Direct relationships
Owned audiences depreciate slowly. Rented audiences collapse.
AI COMMODITIZED (NO MOAT)
Personalized email at scale
Content generation
A/B testing optimization
Lead scoring
Ad creative generation
AI CAN'T REPLICATE (DEFENSIBLE)
Genuine relationships
Original research/data
Deep domain expertise
Trust built over years
Community you've nurtured
The companies winning in 2026 aren't using secret channels. They're doing the basics exceptionally well, for longer than their competitors are willing to.
That's not exciting advice. But it's true.
Every strategy in this post has killed companies that executed it poorly and made fortunes for companies that executed it well. The bottleneck is almost never information. The bottleneck is almost never which strategy you pick. It's the institutional willpower to keep executing a reasonable strategy past the point where it feels like it isn't working.
Exciting advice is almost always wrong, boring advice is almost always right, and the market for advice is structured to produce the exciting kind.
Do with that what you will.
Social Media Organic Reach
The trajectory of organic reach on every major social platform follows the same curve, converging on zero at different speeds. This isn't a conspiracy. It's the business model working as designed.
FACEBOOK
INSTAGRAM
LINKEDIN (CO.)
LINKEDIN (PERSONAL)
TWITTER/X
Baseline
Reach multiplier
Reach multiplier
Social platforms make money from advertising, not from your free content performing well. Limiting organic reach is the feature, not the bug. Building a marketing strategy around organic social distribution is building on ground that is subsiding by design.
Pretending it isn't happening is expensive.